Match Analysis

Manchester United vs As Roma

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
17%
14%
Manchester United winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
4.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Manchester United xG

Expected goals

1

AS Roma xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

9%

21

9%

10

8%

11

8%

30

8%

31

8%

Home

Manchester United

Manchester United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

4.0 / 0.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester United vs As Roma?

Manchester United is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester United's current form?

Manchester United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Manchester United Win69%
Draw17%
AS Roma Win14%
BTTS58%
Over 2.568%