⚡ Match Analysis
Paris Saintgermain vs Arsenal
🏆 Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
28%
36%
36%
Paris Saint-Germain winDrawArsenal win
Key Stats
1.60Points per game2.60
2.63Avg goals scored1.11
1.41Avg goals conceded0.42
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
0.9
Arsenal xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
0–1
18%
1–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–2
8%
1–2
6%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
LWWDD
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Arsenal
WWWWD
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.4
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?
Paris Saintgermain have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Paris Saint-Germain Win28%
Draw36%
Arsenal Win36%
BTTS30%
Over 2.522%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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