Paris Saintgermain vs Arsenal
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Paris Saint-Germain xG
Expected goals
1.1
Arsenal xG
42%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
1–0
12%
0–2
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?
Paris Saintgermain have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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