Match Analysis

Paris Saintgermain vs Arsenal

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
30%
37%
Paris Saint-Germain winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
2.04Avg goals scored1.00
1.78Avg goals conceded0.71
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Paris Saint-Germain xG

Expected goals

1.1

Arsenal xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

13%

11

13%

00

12%

10

12%

02

7%

12

7%

Home

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

LWWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris Saintgermain vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris Saintgermain's current form?

Paris Saintgermain have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Paris Saint-Germain Win33%
Draw30%
Arsenal Win37%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%

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