Match Analysis

Rb Leipzig vs Lens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
9%
84%
RB Leipzig winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored3.00
4.00Avg goals conceded2.00
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

4

Lens xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

7%

14

7%

03

6%

04

6%

15

6%

05

5%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 4.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Lens

Lens

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rb Leipzig vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rb Leipzig's current form?

Rb Leipzig have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win7%
Draw9%
Lens Win84%
BTTS69%
Over 2.589%