Rb Leipzig vs Manchester City
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
RB Leipzig xG
Expected goals
4
Manchester City xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
7%
0–4
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
1–5
6%
0–2
5%
Home
RB Leipzig
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 4.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.0
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rb Leipzig vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rb Leipzig's current form?
Rb Leipzig have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Champions League meetings, Rb Leipzig won 0, drew 0, and Manchester City won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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