Match Analysis

RB LeipzigvsShakhtar Donetsk

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
24%
64%
RB Leipzig winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.00Avg goals scored2.28
1.46Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

RB Leipzig xG

Expected goals

1.6

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–2

14%

0–0

11%

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

Home

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Leipzig's current form?

RB Leipzig have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Leipzig Win12%
Draw24%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win64%
BTTS36%
Over 2.538%