Real Madrid vs Rb Leipzig
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.5
RB Leipzig xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
12%
4–0
12%
2–0
9%
5–0
9%
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
RB Leipzig
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 4.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Rb Leipzig?
Real Madrid is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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