Match Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahce

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
43%
26%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawFenerbahce win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored1.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.00
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

0.5

Fenerbahce xG

18%

Both Teams to Score

10%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

33%

10

20%

01

17%

11

10%

20

6%

02

4%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahce?

Shakhtar Donetsk is favored with a 31% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (33% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 10%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win31%
Draw43%
Fenerbahce Win26%
BTTS18%
Over 2.510%