Match Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Cp

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
25%
61%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
1.00Avg goals scored3.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.00
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sporting CP xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

18%

02

14%

00

11%

11

11%

12

9%

03

8%

Home

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Cp?

Sporting CP is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk Win14%
Draw25%
Sporting CP Win61%
BTTS36%
Over 2.538%