Match Analysis

Sporting CPvsBarcelona

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
28%
22%
Sporting CP winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.60
2.36Avg goals scored4.36
0.36Avg goals conceded1.00
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Sporting CP xG

Expected goals

0.8

Barcelona xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

16%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

8%

Home

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.4 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sporting CP vs Barcelona?

Sporting CP is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sporting CP's current form?

Sporting CP have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sporting CP Win50%
Draw28%
Barcelona Win22%
BTTS40%
Over 2.535%