Match Analysis

HenanvsBeijing Guoan

CHN Chinese Super League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
19%
70%
Henan winDrawBeijing Guoan win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.25Avg goals scored2.27
1.48Avg goals conceded0.77
0–5–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Henan xG

Expected goals

2.1

Beijing Guoan xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

13%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–3

7%

Home

Henan

Henan

DDDDD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 5D 0L

Away

Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Henan vs Beijing Guoan?

Beijing Guoan is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Henan's current form?

Henan have recorded 0W 5D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Henan Win11%
Draw19%
Beijing Guoan Win70%
BTTS44%
Over 2.553%