Match Analysis

HenanvsTianjin Jinmen Tiger

CHN Chinese Super League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
27%
45%
Henan winDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.41Avg goals scored1.46
1.48Avg goals conceded1.01
0–4–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Henan xG

Expected goals

1.3

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

1–0

10%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Henan

Henan

DDDDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Away

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

WWDDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Henan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Henan's current form?

Henan have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Henan Win28%
Draw27%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Win45%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%