Match Analysis

JamaicavsMexico

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
24%
22%
Jamaica winDrawMexico win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.00
1.48Avg goals scored0.00
0.97Avg goals conceded0.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Jamaica xG

Expected goals

1

Mexico xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Mexico

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jamaica vs Mexico?

Jamaica is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jamaica's current form?

Jamaica have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jamaica Win54%
Draw24%
Mexico Win22%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%