Match Analysis

MartiniquevsAruba

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
21%
58%
Martinique winDrawAruba win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.26Avg goals scored2.04
1.70Avg goals conceded1.35
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Martinique xG

Expected goals

2.1

Aruba xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

8%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Martinique

Martinique

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Aruba

Aruba

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Martinique vs Aruba?

Aruba is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Martinique's current form?

Martinique have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Martinique Win21%
Draw21%
Aruba Win58%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%