Mexicovs
Jamaica
CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Mexico xG
Expected goals
1.5
Jamaica xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Mexico
Away
Jamaica
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mexico vs Jamaica?
Jamaica is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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