Match Analysis

St. Martin vs US Virgin Islands

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
St. Martin winDrawUS Virgin Islands win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

St. Martin xG

Expected goals

1.3

US Virgin Islands xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

St. Martin

No data

Away

US Virgin Islands

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Martin vs US Virgin Islands?

St. Martin is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Martin Win41%
Draw26%
US Virgin Islands Win33%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%