Match Analysis

United StatesvsHaiti

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
20%
55%
United States winDrawHaiti win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
0.00Avg goals scored2.20
0.00Avg goals conceded1.26
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

United States xG

Expected goals

2.2

Haiti xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

2–1

6%

Home

United States

No data

Away

Haiti

Haiti

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win United States vs Haiti?

Haiti is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

United States Win25%
Draw20%
Haiti Win55%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%