Match Analysis

US Virgin Islands vs Bahamas

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
US Virgin Islands winDrawBahamas win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

US Virgin Islands xG

Expected goals

1.3

Bahamas xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

US Virgin Islands

No data

Away

Bahamas

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win US Virgin Islands vs Bahamas?

US Virgin Islands is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

US Virgin Islands Win41%
Draw26%
Bahamas Win33%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%