Match Analysis

AC MilanvsArarat-Armenia

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
20%
21%
AC Milan winDrawArarat-Armenia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.46Avg goals scored0.59
1.68Avg goals conceded3.64
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.3

Ararat-Armenia xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Ararat-Armenia?

AC Milan is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win59%
Draw20%
Ararat-Armenia Win21%
BTTS65%
Over 2.570%