Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
3.1
Benfica xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
6%
2–3
6%
0–2
5%
0–3
5%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.20
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Benfica
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Benfica?
Benfica is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AC Milan's current form?
AC Milan have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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