Match Analysis

AC MilanvsBenfica

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
15%
69%
AC Milan winDrawBenfica win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.00Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded0.00
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

3.1

Benfica xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

6%

2–3

6%

0–2

5%

0–3

5%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Benfica

Benfica

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Benfica?

Benfica is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win16%
Draw15%
Benfica Win69%
BTTS74%
Over 2.584%