Match Analysis

AC MilanvsSunderland

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
29%
26%
AC Milan winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
2.47Avg goals scored1.62
0.76Avg goals conceded0.62
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

0.9

Sunderland xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

WDWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Sunderland?

AC Milan is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win45%
Draw29%
Sunderland Win26%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%