Match Analysis

AnderlechtvsLyon

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
12%
80%
Anderlecht winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
1.00Avg goals scored2.00
2.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Anderlecht xG

Expected goals

3.1

Lyon xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

0–3

9%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–4

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Anderlecht vs Lyon?

Lyon is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Anderlecht's current form?

Anderlecht have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Anderlecht Win8%
Draw12%
Lyon Win80%
BTTS57%
Over 2.576%