Match Analysis

Ararat-ArmeniavsNK Celje

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
22%
41%
Ararat-Armenia winDrawNK Celje win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.40
0.59Avg goals scored0.82
3.64Avg goals conceded2.36
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Ararat-Armenia xG

Expected goals

1.8

NK Celje xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

0–2

5%

Home

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

NK Celje

NK Celje

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ararat-Armenia vs NK Celje?

NK Celje is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ararat-Armenia's current form?

Ararat-Armenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ararat-Armenia Win37%
Draw22%
NK Celje Win41%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%