Match Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebvsSK Sturm Graz

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
25%
31%
Dinamo Zagreb winDrawSK Sturm Graz win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.18Avg goals scored0.41
1.62Avg goals conceded1.10
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Dinamo Zagreb xG

Expected goals

1.3

SK Sturm Graz xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Dinamo Zagreb vs SK Sturm Graz?

Dinamo Zagreb is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?

Dinamo Zagreb have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Dinamo Zagreb Win44%
Draw25%
SK Sturm Graz Win31%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%