Match Analysis

Lech PoznanvsFerencvaros

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
8%
86%
Lech Poznan winDrawFerencvaros win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
0.00Avg goals scored2.39
4.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Lech Poznan xG

Expected goals

4

Ferencvaros xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–3

6%

0–4

6%

1–5

6%

0–5

5%

Home

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lech Poznan vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lech Poznan's current form?

Lech Poznan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lech Poznan Win6%
Draw8%
Ferencvaros Win86%
BTTS69%
Over 2.589%