Match Analysis

Levski SofiavsAC Milan

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
24%
31%
Levski Sofia winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.00
1.18Avg goals scored1.46
1.00Avg goals conceded1.68
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Levski Sofia xG

Expected goals

1.4

AC Milan xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Levski Sofia vs AC Milan?

Levski Sofia is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Levski Sofia's current form?

Levski Sofia have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Levski Sofia Win45%
Draw24%
AC Milan Win31%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%