Match Analysis

LyonvsUnion St.-Gilloise

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
22%
53%
Lyon winDrawUnion St.-Gilloise win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
2.62Avg goals scored1.77
1.62Avg goals conceded0.61
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lyon xG

Expected goals

2

Union St.-Gilloise xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win25%
Draw22%
Union St.-Gilloise Win53%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%