Match Analysis

MarseillevsAnderlecht

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
25%
44%
Marseille winDrawAnderlecht win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
0.23Avg goals scored1.46
1.68Avg goals conceded0.81
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Marseille xG

Expected goals

1.6

Anderlecht xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win31%
Draw25%
Anderlecht Win44%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%