Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Marseille xG
Expected goals
0.9
Celta Vigo xG
23%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
25%
0–1
22%
1–0
12%
1–1
11%
0–2
10%
1–2
5%
Home
Marseille
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.4 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Europa League