Match Analysis

MarseillevsCelta Vigo

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
36%
45%
Marseille winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.39Avg goals scored0.62
2.16Avg goals conceded1.62
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Marseille xG

Expected goals

0.9

Celta Vigo xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

0–1

22%

1–0

12%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

5%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Celta Vigo?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win19%
Draw36%
Celta Vigo Win45%
BTTS23%
Over 2.517%