Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
NEC Nijmegen xG
Expected goals
2.2
Benfica xG
73%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
0–2
5%
Home
NEC Nijmegen
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 4D 0L
Away
Benfica
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.5 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?
Benfica is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is NEC Nijmegen's current form?
NEC Nijmegen have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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