Match Analysis

NEC NijmegenvsBenfica

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
20%
51%
NEC Nijmegen winDrawBenfica win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
2.00Avg goals scored3.55
2.32Avg goals conceded0.77
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

NEC Nijmegen xG

Expected goals

2.2

Benfica xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

DWDDD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

Benfica

Benfica

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.5 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win NEC Nijmegen vs Benfica?

Benfica is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is NEC Nijmegen's current form?

NEC Nijmegen have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

NEC Nijmegen Win29%
Draw20%
Benfica Win51%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%