Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
SC Freiburg xG
Expected goals
3.4
Aston Villa xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
16%
0–2
14%
0–4
14%
0–5
9%
0–1
8%
1–3
5%
Home
SC Freiburg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.5 / 0.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 1 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sc Freiburg's current form?
Sc Freiburg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 1 Europa League meetings, Sc Freiburg won 0, drew 0, and Aston Villa won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (1 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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