⚡ Match Analysis
Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa
🥈 Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
17%
23%
60%
SC Freiburg winDrawAston Villa win
Key Stats
0.80Points per game0.80
2.31Avg goals scored2.43
1.02Avg goals conceded0.43
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
SC Freiburg xG
Expected goals
1.8
Aston Villa xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
12%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
0–3
7%
Home
SC Freiburg
LWDLL
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Aston Villa
DWLLL
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sc Freiburg's current form?
Sc Freiburg have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
SC Freiburg Win17%
Draw23%
Aston Villa Win60%
BTTS46%
Over 2.548%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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