Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa
🥈 Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
SC Freiburg xG
Expected goals
2.7
Aston Villa xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
16%
0–3
15%
0–1
12%
0–4
10%
1–2
7%
1–3
6%
Home
SC Freiburg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.6 / 0.3
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 1 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sc Freiburg's current form?
Sc Freiburg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 1 Europa League meetings, Sc Freiburg won 0, drew 0, and Aston Villa won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (1 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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