Match Analysis

Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
SC Freiburg winDrawAston Villa win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.24Avg goals scored2.47
2.08Avg goals conceded0.28
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

3.4

Aston Villa xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

03

16%

02

14%

04

14%

05

9%

01

8%

13

5%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

LWLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

LWWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 1 meetings

Sc Freiburgall timeAston Villa
1W
20 May 26
SC Freiburg03Aston Villa

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sc Freiburg's current form?

Sc Freiburg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 1 Europa League meetings, Sc Freiburg won 0, drew 0, and Aston Villa won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (1 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win3%
Draw5%
Aston Villa Win92%
BTTS25%
Over 2.571%

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