Match Analysis

SunderlandvsAZ Alkmaar

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
29%
15%
Sunderland winDrawAZ Alkmaar win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.62Avg goals scored1.24
0.62Avg goals conceded1.00
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

0.5

AZ Alkmaar xG

29%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

21%

0–0

17%

2–0

14%

1–1

11%

0–1

8%

2–1

7%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?

Sunderland is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win56%
Draw29%
AZ Alkmaar Win15%
BTTS29%
Over 2.527%