Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsFerencvaros

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
22%
42%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawFerencvaros win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.60
1.95Avg goals scored3.04
1.55Avg goals conceded1.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

1.9

Ferencvaros xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

0–2

5%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win36%
Draw22%
Ferencvaros Win42%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%