Arema Indonesia vs Bhayangkara Presisi
IDN Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.6
Arema Indonesia xG
Expected goals
3.1
Bhayangkara Presisi xG
93%
Both Teams to Score
96%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
5%
3–3
5%
2–2
4%
2–3
4%
3–4
4%
4–2
4%
Home
Arema Indonesia
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Bhayangkara Presisi
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
3.0 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arema Indonesia vs Bhayangkara Presisi?
Arema Indonesia is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arema Indonesia's current form?
Arema Indonesia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Liga 1 meetings, Arema Indonesia won 2, drew 1, and Bhayangkara Presisi won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 93%. Over 2.5 goals: 96%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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