Bali United vs Madura United Fc
IDN Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Bali United xG
Expected goals
1.3
Madura United FC xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.6M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Bali United
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Madura United FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bali United vs Madura United Fc?
Bali United is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bali United's current form?
Bali United have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 Liga 1 meetings, Bali United won 2, drew 0, and Madura United Fc won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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