Malut United vs Bali United
IDN Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Malut United xG
Expected goals
3.5
Bali United xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–2
6%
1–4
6%
2–3
6%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $317K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Malut United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Bali United
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Malut United vs Bali United?
Bali United is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Malut United's current form?
Malut United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Liga 1 meetings, Malut United won 0, drew 2, and Bali United won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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