Match Analysis

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri

IDN Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
15%
10%
Persebaya Surabaya winDrawPersik Kediri win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
4.14Avg goals scored1.33
0.00Avg goals conceded2.41
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Persebaya Surabaya xG

Expected goals

1.3

Persik Kediri xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

90%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

31

7%

41

7%

51

6%

21

5%

30

5%

40

5%

Home

Persebaya Surabaya

Persebaya Surabaya

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.1 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Persik Kediri

LLWWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Persebaya Surabayaall timePersik Kediri
3W
2D
1W
23 May 26
Persebaya Surabaya50Persik Kediri
7 Nov 25
Persik Kediri11Persebaya Surabaya
5 May 25
Persik Kediri33Persebaya Surabaya
11 Dec 24
Persebaya Surabaya41Persik Kediri
28 Apr 24
Persebaya Surabaya21Persik Kediri
27 Oct 23
Persik Kediri40Persebaya Surabaya

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?

Persebaya Surabaya is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Persebaya Surabaya's current form?

Persebaya Surabaya have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 3, drew 2, and Persik Kediri won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Persebaya Surabaya Win75%
Draw15%
Persik Kediri Win10%
BTTS71%
Over 2.590%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi