Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri
IDN Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Persebaya Surabaya xG
Expected goals
1.3
Persik Kediri xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
90%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
5–1
6%
2–1
5%
3–0
5%
4–0
5%
Home
Persebaya Surabaya
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.1 / 0.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Persik Kediri
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Persebaya Surabaya is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Persebaya Surabaya's current form?
Persebaya Surabaya have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 3, drew 2, and Persik Kediri won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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