⚡ Match Analysis
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri
🇮🇩 Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
82%
13%
5%
Persebaya Surabaya winDrawPersik Kediri win
Key Stats
2.60Points per game1.20
2.74Avg goals scored1.25
0.77Avg goals conceded2.06
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–0–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Persebaya Surabaya xG
Expected goals
0.6
Persik Kediri xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
11%
4–0
11%
5–0
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Persebaya Surabaya
WWDWW
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.8
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
⚽
Persik Kediri
LLWWL
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Persebaya Surabayaall timePersik Kediri
3W
2D
1W
23 May 26
Persebaya Surabaya5–0Persik Kediri
7 Nov 25
Persik Kediri1–1Persebaya Surabaya
5 May 25
Persik Kediri3–3Persebaya Surabaya
11 Dec 24
Persebaya Surabaya4–1Persik Kediri
28 Apr 24
Persebaya Surabaya2–1Persik Kediri
27 Oct 23
Persik Kediri4–0Persebaya Surabaya
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?
Persebaya Surabaya is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Persebaya Surabaya's current form?
Persebaya Surabaya have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 3, drew 2, and Persik Kediri won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Persebaya Surabaya Win82%
Draw13%
Persik Kediri Win5%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%
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