Match Analysis

Persib vs Persebaya Surabaya

IDN Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
23%
40%
Persib winDrawPersebaya Surabaya win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.60
0.95Avg goals scored5.93
0.48Avg goals conceded0.00
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Persib xG

Expected goals

1.5

Persebaya Surabaya xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

11%

12

9%

02

8%

10

8%

00

7%

Home

Persib

Persib

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.5

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Persebaya Surabaya

Persebaya Surabaya

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

5.9 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Persiball timePersebaya Surabaya
4W
1D
1W
2 Mar 26
Persebaya Surabaya22Persib
12 Sep 25
Persib10Persebaya Surabaya
1 Mar 25
Persebaya Surabaya41Persib
18 Oct 24
Persib20Persebaya Surabaya
20 Apr 24
Persib31Persebaya Surabaya
7 Oct 23
Persebaya Surabaya23Persib

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Persib vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persebaya Surabaya is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Persib's current form?

Persib have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persib won 4, drew 1, and Persebaya Surabaya won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Persib Win37%
Draw23%
Persebaya Surabaya Win40%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%

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