Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Persib xG
Expected goals
1.5
Persebaya Surabaya xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Persib
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Persebaya Surabaya
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
5.9 / 0.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Persib vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persebaya Surabaya is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Persib's current form?
Persib have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persib won 4, drew 1, and Persebaya Surabaya won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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