Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Persija xG
Expected goals
0.6
Semen Padang xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
11%
4–0
11%
5–0
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Persija
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.6 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Semen Padang
PPG
0.00
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Persija vs Semen Padang?
Persija is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Persija's current form?
Persija have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persija won 3, drew 0, and Semen Padang won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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