⚡ Match Analysis
Persija vs Semen Padang
🇮🇩 Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
84%
3%
13%
Persija winDrawSemen Padang win
Key Stats
2.40Points per game0.00
2.14Avg goals scored0.22
0.82Avg goals conceded2.55
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Persija xG
Expected goals
0.3
Semen Padang xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
14%
4–0
14%
5–0
12%
2–0
11%
1–0
5%
3–1
4%
Home
Persija
WWLWW
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.8
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Semen Padang
LLLLL
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
0.2 / 2.6
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Persijaall timeSemen Padang
3W
3W
23 May 26
Persija3–0Semen Padang
20 Apr 26
Semen Padang0–2Persijap
22 Dec 25
Semen Padang1–0Persija
20 Nov 25
Persijap1–2Semen Padang
27 Apr 25
Persija0–2Semen Padang
6 Dec 24
Semen Padang0–1Persija
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Persija vs Semen Padang?
Persija is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Persija's current form?
Persija have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persija won 3, drew 0, and Semen Padang won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Persija Win84%
Draw3%
Semen Padang Win13%
BTTS25%
Over 2.580%
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Liga 1