Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Persik Kediri xG
Expected goals
2.2
Malut United xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–2
8%
0–1
7%
1–3
7%
0–3
6%
Home
Persik Kediri
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 4.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Malut United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 4.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Persik Kediri vs Malut United?
Malut United is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Persik Kediri's current form?
Persik Kediri have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Liga 1 meetings, Persik Kediri won 1, drew 1, and Malut United won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Liga 1