Match Analysis

Persita vs Persebaya Surabaya

IDN Liga 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
12%
85%
Persita winDrawPersebaya Surabaya win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.60
0.49Avg goals scored3.82
1.69Avg goals conceded0.00
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Persita xG

Expected goals

4

Persebaya Surabaya xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

03

11%

04

11%

05

9%

02

8%

13

6%

14

6%

Home

Persita

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Persebaya Surabaya

Persebaya Surabaya

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.8 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Persitaall timePersebaya Surabaya
2D
4W
4 Apr 26
Persebaya Surabaya10Persita
16 Aug 25
Persita01Persebaya Surabaya
31 Jan 25
Persebaya Surabaya11Persita
14 Sep 24
Persita01Persebaya Surabaya
23 Feb 24
Persita11Persebaya Surabaya
12 Aug 23
Persebaya Surabaya10Persita

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Persita vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persebaya Surabaya is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Persita's current form?

Persita have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Liga 1 meetings, Persita won 0, drew 2, and Persebaya Surabaya won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Persita Win3%
Draw12%
Persebaya Surabaya Win85%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%

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