Match Analysis

ChilevsColombia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
30%
47%
Chile winDrawColombia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.38Avg goals scored1.02
1.61Avg goals conceded0.64
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Chile xG

Expected goals

1.2

Colombia xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–2

11%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

Home

Chile

Chile

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Colombia

Colombia

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chile vs Colombia?

Colombia is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chile's current form?

Chile have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chile Win23%
Draw30%
Colombia Win47%
BTTS35%
Over 2.530%