Match Analysis

ColombiavsChile

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
28%
17%
Colombia winDrawChile win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.02Avg goals scored1.38
0.64Avg goals conceded1.61
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Colombia xG

Expected goals

0.6

Chile xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

19%

0–0

14%

2–0

13%

1–1

11%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Colombia

Colombia

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Chile

Chile

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Colombia vs Chile?

Colombia is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Colombia's current form?

Colombia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Colombia Win55%
Draw28%
Chile Win17%
BTTS34%
Over 2.532%