EcuadorvsCosta Rica
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Ecuador xG
Expected goals
1.5
Costa Rica xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
1–0
8%
2–1
8%
0–0
6%
Home
Ecuador
PPG
0.80
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Costa Rica
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
Costa Rica is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ecuador's current form?
Ecuador have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 1 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from International Friendly