Match Analysis

IraqvsIran

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
23%
26%
Iraq winDrawIran win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.60
0.00Avg goals scored0.48
0.00Avg goals conceded2.48
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Iraq xG

Expected goals

1.2

Iran xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Iraq

No data

Away

Iran

Iran

LLDDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Iraq vs Iran?

Iraq is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Iraq Win51%
Draw23%
Iran Win26%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%