Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Iraq xG
Expected goals
1.2
Iran xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
0–1
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Iraq
Away
Iran
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Iraq vs Iran?
Iraq is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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