Match Analysis

IraqvsLebanon

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
23%
41%
Iraq winDrawLebanon win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
0.00Avg goals scored3.44
0.00Avg goals conceded1.54
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Iraq xG

Expected goals

1.7

Lebanon xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Iraq

No data

Away

Lebanon

Lebanon

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.4 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Iraq vs Lebanon?

Lebanon is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 2 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Iraq Win36%
Draw23%
Lebanon Win41%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%