Match Analysis

JapanvsBrazil

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
20%
44%
Japan winDrawBrazil win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
2.48Avg goals scored3.07
1.00Avg goals conceded0.98
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Japan xG

Expected goals

2.2

Brazil xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Japan

Japan

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Brazil

Brazil

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Japan vs Brazil?

Brazil is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Japan's current form?

Japan have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Japan Win36%
Draw20%
Brazil Win44%
BTTS77%
Over 2.579%