Japanvs
Paraguay
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Japan xG
Expected goals
1.1
Paraguay xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
3–0
7%
1–1
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Japan
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Paraguay
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Japan vs Paraguay?
Japan is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Japan's current form?
Japan have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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