Match Analysis

QatarvsAustralia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
16%
17%
Qatar winDrawAustralia win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.40
0.00Avg goals scored1.52
0.00Avg goals conceded2.55
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Qatar xG

Expected goals

1.5

Australia xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

7%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

2–0

5%

Home

Qatar

No data

Away

Australia

Australia

LDLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Qatar vs Australia?

Qatar is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Qatar Win67%
Draw16%
Australia Win17%
BTTS73%
Over 2.581%