Match Analysis

South Korea vs Ecuador

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
South Korea winDrawEcuador win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

South Korea xG

Expected goals

1.3

Ecuador xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

South Korea

No data

Away

Ecuador

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win South Korea vs Ecuador?

South Korea is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

South Korea Win41%
Draw26%
Ecuador Win33%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%