Uzbekistanvs
Russia
FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Uzbekistan xG
Expected goals
1.9
Russia xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
0–2
5%
Home
Uzbekistan
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Russia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.7 / 1.1
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Uzbekistan vs Russia?
Russia is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Uzbekistan's current form?
Uzbekistan have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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