Match Analysis

UzbekistanvsRussia

FIFA International Friendly · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
22%
43%
Uzbekistan winDrawRussia win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
2.25Avg goals scored3.69
1.36Avg goals conceded1.06
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Uzbekistan xG

Expected goals

1.9

Russia xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

0–2

5%

Home

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

LWWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Russia

Russia

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.7 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Russia is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Uzbekistan's current form?

Uzbekistan have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Uzbekistan Win35%
Draw22%
Russia Win43%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%